我國糧食安全戰略與財政對策淺談
| 作者:漢奎 | 來源:中國財經報 |
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糧食安全始終是大國的隱憂。作為13億人口的農業大國,我國的糧食安全地位更為突出、更geng為wei重zhong要yao,意yi義yi更geng大da。可ke以yi說shuo,一yi旦dan我wo國guo糧liang食shi安an全quan出chu問wen題ti,農nong業ye就jiu要yao出chu問wen題ti,整zheng個ge國guo民min經jing濟ji運yun行xing就jiu會hui出chu問wen題ti,社she會hui穩wen定ding和he國guo家jia安an全quan就jiu可ke能neng受shou到dao影ying響xiang,甚shen至zhi會hui影ying響xiang到dao世shi界jie經jing濟ji社she會hui的de穩wen定ding。 woguodanghezhengfugengshililaigaoduzhongshiliangshianquan。jingguobuxienuli,muqianwoguoliangshianquanyoulejiaohaobaozhang,danliangshianquandeyinhuanrengrancunzai,liangshianquanmianlinyixiexinqingkuanghexinwenti。jijitansuoshihezhongguotesedeliangshianquanzhanlve,quebaoliangshianquanbuchurenheshanshi,rengshidangqianjingjishehuifazhandeyixiangzhongyaoketi。 居安思危,重新定位糧食安全保障目標 受生產能力和水平等限製,我國長期以來一直沒有解決好糧食安全問題。從建國至20世紀90年代,我國糧食安全保障程度低。通過幾代人的不懈努力,我國糧食總產和單產水平增長很快,到20世紀90年代以後,我國糧食產量基本穩定在9000億斤以上,個別年份超萬億斤,糧食才從長期供不應求轉為基本自給,較好地解決了13億人口的“吃飯”問題。2004年以來,由於政策好、天幫忙、人努力,又實現連續四年糧食增產,到2007年產量又增長到10030億斤,糧食安全有了基礎保障。 但(dan)曆(li)史(shi)經(jing)驗(yan)表(biao)明(ming),越(yue)是(shi)糧(liang)食(shi)連(lian)年(nian)增(zeng)產(chan),糧(liang)食(shi)供(gong)應(ying)有(you)保(bao)障(zhang)的(de)時(shi)候(hou),越(yue)要(yao)居(ju)安(an)思(si)危(wei),提(ti)高(gao)警(jing)惕(ti),不(bu)能(neng)忽(hu)視(shi)或(huo)放(fang)鬆(song)糧(liang)食(shi)生(sheng)產(chan)。我(wo)國(guo)曆(li)史(shi)上(shang)幾(ji)次(ci)大(da)的(de)糧(liang)食(shi)波(bo)動(dong),糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)出(chu)現(xian)危(wei)機(ji)均(jun)在(zai)糧(liang)食(shi)連(lian)年(nian)增(zeng)產(chan)之(zhi)後(hou)。如(ru)1993年、2003年(nian)的(de)糧(liang)食(shi)波(bo)動(dong)就(jiu)如(ru)此(ci)。因(yin)此(ci),盡(jin)管(guan)當(dang)前(qian)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)有(you)了(le)保(bao)障(zhang),長(chang)期(qi)內(nei)我(wo)國(guo)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)的(de)隱(yin)患(huan)還(hai)較(jiao)多(duo),糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)的(de)基(ji)礎(chu)還(hai)不(bu)牢(lao)靠(kao)。長(chang)遠(yuan)看(kan),這(zhe)種(zhong)不(bu)安(an)全(quan)的(de)隱(yin)患(huan)主(zhu)要(yao)是(shi): 1.我(wo)國(guo)自(zi)然(ran)氣(qi)候(hou)條(tiao)件(jian)變(bian)化(hua)較(jiao)大(da),糧(liang)食(shi)生(sheng)產(chan)靠(kao)天(tian)吃(chi)飯(fan)的(de)局(ju)麵(mian)未(wei)根(gen)本(ben)改(gai)觀(guan)。我(wo)國(guo)糧(liang)食(shi)生(sheng)產(chan)經(jing)常(chang)出(chu)現(xian)周(zhou)期(qi)性(xing)波(bo)動(dong),其(qi)中(zhong)一(yi)個(ge)重(zhong)要(yao)因(yin)素(su)就(jiu)是(shi)自(zi)然(ran)災(zai)害(hai)的(de)影(ying)響(xiang)。 2.耕地減少和農業生產環境等呈惡化趨勢,資源性約束日益增強。我國人均耕地隻有1.4畝,不及世界人均耕地的40%,全國有666個縣(區)的人均耕地低於聯合國糧農組織(FAO)確定的0.8畝(mu)的(de)警(jing)戒(jie)線(xian)。同(tong)時(shi),由(you)於(yu)生(sheng)態(tai)環(huan)境(jing)汙(wu)染(ran)等(deng),耕(geng)地(di)質(zhi)量(liang)下(xia)降(jiang)嚴(yan)重(zhong),土(tu)地(di)的(de)可(ke)持(chi)續(xu)生(sheng)產(chan)能(neng)力(li)受(shou)到(dao)嚴(yan)重(zhong)影(ying)響(xiang)。此(ci)外(wai),水(shui)資(zi)源(yuan)短(duan)缺(que)且(qie)水(shui)質(zhi)惡(e)化(hua)也(ye)將(jiang)嚴(yan)重(zhong)製(zhi)約(yue)中(zhong)國(guo)未(wei)來(lai)的(de)糧(liang)食(shi)生(sheng)產(chan),尤(you)其(qi)影(ying)響(xiang)稻(dao)穀(gu)的(de)生(sheng)產(chan),對(dui)我(wo)國(guo)口(kou)糧(liang)安(an)全(quan)造(zao)成(cheng)較(jiao)大(da)威(wei)脅(xie)。 3.糧食供應仍存在區域性、結構性短缺,局部性不安全因素始終存在。我國糧食產銷分布不均衡,13個糧食主產區糧食產量占全國總產的74%以上,消費隻占全國的62%以上;其他非糧食主產區糧食產量隻占全國的26%以上,消費占了38%以上,糧食庫存也大多集中在糧食主產區。受運輸瓶頸和物流體係不發達等因素製約,還容易造成局部性、階段性糧食短缺現象。如2004年(nian)部(bu)分(fen)銷(xiao)區(qu)引(yin)發(fa)的(de)大(da)米(mi)漲(zhang)價(jia)風(feng)波(bo)就(jiu)是(shi)一(yi)個(ge)典(dian)型(xing)例(li)子(zi)。同(tong)時(shi),糧(liang)食(shi)品(pin)種(zhong)結(jie)構(gou)不(bu)合(he)理(li),產(chan)需(xu)不(bu)平(ping)衡(heng),目(mu)前(qian)小(xiao)麥(mai)產(chan)需(xu)平(ping)衡(heng)略(lve)有(you)餘(yu),但(dan)中(zhong)晚(wan)秈(xian)稻(dao)相(xiang)對(dui)短(duan)缺(que),優(you)質(zhi)粳(jing)稻(dao)相(xiang)對(dui)短(duan)缺(que),也(ye)容(rong)易(yi)引(yin)發(fa)一(yi)些(xie)結(jie)構(gou)性(xing)供(gong)求(qiu)矛(mao)盾(dun)。 4.糧食市場調控機製不健全,國guo外wai糧liang食shi進jin口kou衝chong擊ji的de壓ya力li加jia大da。糧liang食shi市shi場chang化hua改gai革ge後hou,糧liang食shi安an全quan調tiao控kong的de壓ya力li加jia大da。由you於yu糧liang食shi生sheng產chan彈dan性xing大da,消xiao費fei剛gang性xing強qiang,本ben身shen容rong易yi造zao成cheng糧liang食shi市shi場chang和he價jia格ge的de波bo動dong。如ru果guo相xiang應ying的de調tiao控kong機ji製zhi不bu健jian全quan,就jiu會hui給gei我wo國guo糧liang食shi安an全quan造zao成cheng很hen大da威wei脅xie。 5.糧(liang)食(shi)政(zheng)策(ce)的(de)穩(wen)定(ding)性(xing)與(yu)安(an)全(quan)風(feng)險(xian)關(guan)係(xi)較(jiao)大(da)。有(you)研(yan)究(jiu)表(biao)明(ming),我(wo)國(guo)糧(liang)食(shi)生(sheng)產(chan)存(cun)在(zai)明(ming)顯(xian)的(de)半(ban)周(zhou)期(qi)波(bo)動(dong)現(xian)象(xiang),原(yuan)因(yin)之(zhi)一(yi)是(shi)因(yin)為(wei)政(zheng)策(ce)頻(pin)繁(fan)調(tiao)整(zheng),鬆(song)時(shi)放(fang),緊(jin)時(shi)收(shou)。可(ke)見(jian),政(zheng)策(ce)的(de)變(bian)化(hua)是(shi)影(ying)響(xiang)我(wo)國(guo)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)的(de)重(zhong)要(yao)因(yin)素(su)。隻(zhi)要(yao)政(zheng)策(ce)得(de)當(dang),調(tiao)動(dong)了(le)地(di)方(fang)政(zheng)府(fu)和(he)農(nong)民(min)生(sheng)產(chan)積(ji)極(ji)性(xing),糧(liang)食(shi)產(chan)量(liang)就(jiu)能(neng)較(jiao)快(kuai)增(zeng)長(chang),反(fan)之(zhi),糧(liang)食(shi)產(chan)量(liang)就(jiu)急(ji)劇(ju)下(xia)滑(hua)。因(yin)此(ci),能(neng)否(fou)確(que)保(bao)政(zheng)策(ce)的(de)持(chi)續(xu)性(xing)也(ye)是(shi)確(que)保(bao)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)的(de)一(yi)個(ge)重(zhong)要(yao)因(yin)素(su)。 zongzhi,zhiyuewoguoliangshianquandeyinsurengranhenduo,liangshianquandexingshiyiranyanjun。zhengrudangzhongyangheguowuyuanlingdaoyizaiqiangtiaode,zaiwoguozheyangdeyigefazhanzhongdaguo,renheshihou,duiliangshianquandoubunengdiaoyiqingxin,bixuchangzhuabuxie。 糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)戰(zhan)略(lve)目(mu)標(biao)的(de)實(shi)現(xian),需(xu)要(yao)相(xiang)應(ying)政(zheng)策(ce)扶(fu)持(chi)和(he)推(tui)動(dong)。近(jin)年(nian)來(lai),根(gen)據(ju)新(xin)形(xing)勢(shi)發(fa)展(zhan)的(de)需(xu)要(yao),我(wo)們(men)不(bu)斷(duan)調(tiao)整(zheng)和(he)完(wan)善(shan)政(zheng)策(ce)促(cu)進(jin)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)。目(mu)前(qian)初(chu)步(bu)形(xing)成(cheng)了(le)以(yi)財(cai)政(zheng)政(zheng)策(ce)為(wei)核(he)心(xin)的(de)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)政(zheng)策(ce)促(cu)進(jin)體(ti)係(xi),有(you)效(xiao)地(di)促(cu)進(jin)了(le)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)。但(dan)離(li)實(shi)現(xian)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)的(de)長(chang)期(qi)目(mu)標(biao)還(hai)有(you)一(yi)定(ding)距(ju)離(li),要(yao)長(chang)期(qi)確(que)保(bao)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan),還(hai)需(xu)繼(ji)續(xu)完(wan)善(shan)相(xiang)關(guan)政(zheng)策(ce),注(zhu)重(zhong)建(jian)立(li)長(chang)效(xiao)機(ji)製(zhi)。 抓緊建立完善促進糧食基本生產能力的長效機製 糧liang食shi綜zong合he生sheng產chan能neng力li是shi糧liang食shi安an全quan之zhi基ji。為wei提ti高gao糧liang食shi綜zong合he生sheng產chan能neng力li,近jin年nian來lai,國guo家jia出chu台tai了le一yi係xi列lie扶fu持chi政zheng策ce,加jia大da政zheng策ce扶fu持chi力li度du,通tong過guo新xin增zeng土tu地di建jian設she使shi用yong費fei、農業生產基礎設施建設、農業綜合開發、xiaoxingnongtianshuilisheshijianshedeng,youxiaodicujinleliangshizongheshengchannenglidetigao。muqianwoguoliangshijibenshengchannengliyoulechububaozhang,danjichuhaibulaogu,changxiaojizhibingweijianli。zaijixuwendingwanshanxianxingzhichizhengcedetongshi,haiyaojixushixianzhidudewanshanhechuangxin,cujinliangshizongheshengchannenglidetigao。 yifangmian,yaojianlicujingengdiyouxiaobaohudeyueshuhejilijizhi,quebaogengdideshulianghezhiliangbuxiajiang。gengdishiliangshianquandejichu。gengdideshulianghezhiliangjuedingzheyiguoliangshideqianzaigonggeinengli。wenjiabaozonglizengduocizhichu,baohugengdijiushibaohunongyezongheshengchannengli,jiushibaozhangguojialiangshianquan。yaoshouzhu18億畝耕地這個紅線始終不能動搖。為促進耕地保護,一要嚴格執行耕地保護法,盡快將耕地和基本農田落實到村、luoshidaohu。jingguoqinglipuzhahou,zhuhudengjizaoce,zerendaoren,tianmudaohu。eryaojianlizhengfuhenonghugongtongbaohugengdideyouxiaojizhi。zhuyaoshijinkuaitiaozhengwanshanxianxingxinzengtudijiansheshiyongfeizhengce,genghaoditiaodongdifangzhengfubaohugengdijijixing;將(jiang)現(xian)行(xing)糧(liang)食(shi)直(zhi)補(bu)和(he)產(chan)糧(liang)大(da)縣(xian)獎(jiang)勵(li)政(zheng)策(ce)與(yu)保(bao)護(hu)耕(geng)地(di)掛(gua)鉤(gou),在(zai)資(zi)金(jin)分(fen)配(pei)上(shang)納(na)入(ru)耕(geng)地(di)或(huo)基(ji)本(ben)農(nong)田(tian)保(bao)護(hu)因(yin)素(su),促(cu)進(jin)地(di)方(fang)政(zheng)府(fu)和(he)農(nong)民(min)自(zi)覺(jiao)保(bao)護(hu)好(hao)耕(geng)地(di)。三(san)要(yao)積(ji)極(ji)借(jie)鑒(jian)國(guo)外(wai)成(cheng)功(gong)經(jing)驗(yan)和(he)做(zuo)法(fa),推(tui)廣(guang)完(wan)善(shan)測(ce)土(tu)配(pei)肥(fei)政(zheng)策(ce),積(ji)極(ji)探(tan)索(suo)休(xiu)耕(geng)製(zhi)度(du)等(deng),有(you)效(xiao)地(di)保(bao)護(hu)耕(geng)地(di)質(zhi)量(liang)。 另(ling)一(yi)方(fang)麵(mian),要(yao)盡(jin)快(kuai)整(zheng)合(he)財(cai)政(zheng)支(zhi)農(nong)資(zi)金(jin),完(wan)善(shan)支(zhi)農(nong)政(zheng)策(ce)目(mu)標(biao)和(he)方(fang)式(shi),更(geng)有(you)效(xiao)地(di)促(cu)進(jin)糧(liang)食(shi)綜(zong)合(he)生(sheng)產(chan)能(neng)力(li)的(de)提(ti)高(gao)。提(ti)高(gao)糧(liang)食(shi)綜(zong)合(he)生(sheng)產(chan)能(neng)力(li)的(de)核(he)心(xin)是(shi)要(yao)重(zhong)視(shi)和(he)加(jia)強(qiang)糧(liang)食(shi)基(ji)礎(chu)設(she)施(shi)建(jian)設(she)的(de)投(tou)入(ru)。近(jin)年(nian)來(lai),中(zhong)央(yang)財(cai)政(zheng)對(dui)農(nong)業(ye)生(sheng)產(chan)基(ji)礎(chu)設(she)施(shi)的(de)投(tou)入(ru)、農業綜合開發、xiaoxingnongtianshuilijichusheshijianshedengfangmiantouruqudaohenduo,zhichiliduzaizhunianjiada,liangshizongheshengchannengliyededaoyouxiaotigao。danzhengcemubiaobuhenmingque,zijinbijiaofensan,shiyongxiaoyijiaodi,yingxianglezongheshengchannenglidechixutigao。jinhouyingjixujiadaduiliangshizongheshengchannenglitourudetongshi,zhongdianshiyaowanshancaizhengzhengcemubiao,jianquanyunzuojizhi。yishijiadagezhongzhinongzijindezhenghelidu,jizhongzijinzhongdiantouru,tigaozijinxiaoyi,conggenbenshangniuzhuanliangshikaotianchifanjumian。ershigaibiantourufangshi,jijiyinrushichangjizhi,caiquzhengfuzhijietouzi、政府引導和民辦公助、以獎代補等多種方式,政府和社會共同參與、共同投資、不斷提高糧食綜合生產能力。 探索建立對種糧農民的基本收益保障機製 糧(liang)食(shi)生(sheng)產(chan)能(neng)力(li)有(you)了(le)一(yi)定(ding)保(bao)障(zhang),保(bao)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)的(de)關(guan)鍵(jian)就(jiu)是(shi)要(yao)保(bao)護(hu)好(hao)種(zhong)糧(liang)積(ji)極(ji)性(xing)。事(shi)實(shi)上(shang),我(wo)國(guo)糧(liang)食(shi)安(an)全(quan)出(chu)現(xian)問(wen)題(ti),很(hen)多(duo)時(shi)候(hou)直(zhi)接(jie)表(biao)現(xian)為(wei)糧(liang)食(shi)過(guo)少(shao),根(gen)源(yuan)則(ze)在(zai)於(yu)糧(liang)食(shi)較(jiao)多(duo)時(shi)農(nong)民(min)種(zhong)糧(liang)收(shou)益(yi)沒(mei)有(you)得(de)到(dao)很(hen)好(hao)保(bao)障(zhang),嚴(yan)重(zhong)挫(cuo)傷(shang)了(le)農(nong)民(min)種(zhong)糧(liang)積(ji)極(ji)性(xing)。 因此,要調動農民種糧積極性,就必須盡快建立農民種糧基本收益保障機製,確保農民種糧收益不降低,至少種糧不虧本。 近(jin)年(nian)來(lai),我(wo)們(men)已(yi)逐(zhu)步(bu)探(tan)索(suo)形(xing)成(cheng)一(yi)套(tao)保(bao)護(hu)農(nong)民(min)種(zhong)糧(liang)積(ji)極(ji)性(xing)的(de)政(zheng)策(ce)體(ti)係(xi),也(ye)有(you)效(xiao)地(di)調(tiao)動(dong)了(le)農(nong)民(min)生(sheng)產(chan)積(ji)極(ji)性(xing)。比(bi)較(jiao)重(zhong)要(yao)的(de)政(zheng)策(ce)就(jiu)是(shi)取(qu)消(xiao)農(nong)業(ye)稅(shui)和(he)2004年(nian)以(yi)來(lai)實(shi)行(xing)的(de)糧(liang)食(shi)直(zhi)接(jie)補(bu)貼(tie)政(zheng)策(ce)和(he)最(zui)低(di)收(shou)購(gou)價(jia)政(zheng)策(ce),這(zhe)幾(ji)項(xiang)政(zheng)策(ce)有(you)效(xiao)地(di)促(cu)進(jin)了(le)農(nong)民(min)增(zeng)收(shou),保(bao)護(hu)了(le)種(zhong)糧(liang)積(ji)極(ji)性(xing)。僅(jin)農(nong)業(ye)稅(shui)減(jian)免(mian)一(yi)項(xiang)每(mei)年(nian)要(yao)相(xiang)對(dui)增(zeng)加(jia)農(nong)業(ye)收(shou)入(ru)1250億元;2007年糧食直補和農資綜合直補兩項直接補貼直接增加農民收入427億元;糧食最低收購價政策有效地穩定了糧食價格,增加了農民收入。按目前我國糧食商品量約3000億斤,如果糧價每上漲1毛錢,農民就增收300億元。 但dan要yao長chang期qi調tiao動dong和he穩wen定ding農nong民min種zhong糧liang積ji極ji性xing,現xian有you直zhi接jie補bu貼tie的de力li度du還hai不bu夠gou,最zui低di收shou購gou價jia政zheng策ce等deng還hai需xu繼ji續xu完wan善shan。為wei更geng好hao地di保bao護hu好hao農nong民min種zhong糧liang積ji極ji性xing,今jin後hou應ying在zai繼ji續xu堅jian持chi完wan善shan上shang述shu政zheng策ce的de同tong時shi,重zhong點dian要yao建jian立li長chang效xiao機ji製zhi,確que保bao農nong民min種zhong糧liang收shou益yi和he積ji極ji性xing不bu下xia降jiang。 一是以現行直接補貼為基礎,探索實現農業補貼製度的創新,逐步建立固定補貼和變動補貼、綜合補貼和專項補貼有機結合的農業直接補貼製度,直接補貼種糧農民,穩定種糧農民基本收益。 二是調整完善現行糧食最低收購價政策等,逐步形成更科學的、zhenzhengfanyingnongminzhongliangchengbenshouyidedingjiajizhi,jianquanzhengceyunzuojizhi,shizuidishougoujiazhengcezhenzhengchengweishichangshangdezuidijiaheliangshizuidizhichengjia,baozhengnongminzhonglianghuodejibenshouyi。danzhegejiagebunengtidaishichangjiagehuowanquanqudaishichangjiage,jiyaoyouliyuwendingliangshishichangheshengchan,youyaocushishichangjizhichongfenfahuizuoyong。sanshijijitansuonongyebaoxian、農業救助等製度,完善農村金融體係,使得農民種糧收益不因自然災害影響,促進農民生產和經營的穩定。 在穩定和提高農民種糧積極性的同時,還要注重提高地方政府重農抓糧的積極性。中央財政從2005年開始對全國900多個產糧大縣實施獎勵政策,這部分產糧大縣耕地麵積占全國耕地總麵積的2/3以上,糧食產量占總產量的3/4左zuo右you。確que保bao了le這zhe部bu分fen產chan糧liang大da縣xian糧liang食shi生sheng產chan的de穩wen定ding,糧liang食shi安an全quan就jiu有you了le基ji本ben保bao障zhang。通tong過guo產chan糧liang大da縣xian獎jiang勵li,激ji勵li了le地di方fang政zheng府fu重zhong農nong抓zhua糧liang的de積ji極ji性xing,產chan糧liang大da縣xian的de糧liang食shi產chan量liang年nian年nian穩wen步bu提ti高gao。今jin後hou,在zai繼ji續xu穩wen定ding完wan善shan產chan糧liang大da縣xian獎jiang勵li政zheng策ce的de同tong時shi,重zhong點dian要yao完wan善shan獎jiang勵li機ji製zhi,盡jin快kuai建jian立li獎jiang勵li基ji金jin存cun量liang與yu增zeng量liang結jie合he、激勵與約束並存的機製,充分調動地方政府促生產的積極性,促進糧食安全。 建立農業製度和技術的創新機製,保持糧食持續增產的潛力 我wo國guo糧liang食shi安an全quan水shui平ping的de迅xun速su提ti高gao,很hen大da程cheng度du上shang得de益yi於yu我wo國guo家jia庭ting聯lian產chan承cheng包bao製zhi等deng農nong業ye生sheng產chan製zhi度du的de改gai革ge和he創chuang新xin。要yao從cong根gen本ben上shang保bao證zheng我wo國guo糧liang食shi安an全quan,還hai必bi須xu注zhu重zhong農nong業ye生sheng產chan製zhi度du的de創chuang新xin,走zou糧liang食shi規gui模mo化hua、產業化路子。 首先,積極探索農村土地製度的改革與創新,逐步改變我國目前的小規模、分散的生產經營格局,積極穩妥地推進農業規模化、產業化經營。在穩定現行聯產承包責任製不變、保證離地農民合理轉移和安置前提下,積極探索農村土地的合理流轉、適度規模經營等製度,促進糧食生產的規模化和效益化。 其次,積極探索農村生產經營組織製度的創新,大力發展農民合作經濟組織,提高糧食生產經營的組織化程度,促進糧食生產和銷售。 第三,繼續加大農業技術創新步伐,不斷提高農業生產技術,提高農業單產水平和防災抗災能力。 |



