玉米日評:飼用需求複蘇,玉米弱勢走低
9月7日,大連商品交易所玉米期貨低開,隨即探底回升,午後下調整理,盤終收低,主力合約增量減倉,收小陰線。大商所玉米主力1005合約,開盤報1,745元/噸,收盤至1,741元/噸,下跌7元/噸,全日成交164,020手,持倉減至301,476手。
panmianshangkan,guoneixianhuoyumijiageweichiwending,xiayouyangzhixuqiuhuifuduiyumiqijiatigongleyoulizhicheng。danguochujiadaduishichangdetoufanglidu,xianshichuguojiawendingliangshijiagedeyitu,duiguoneiyumijiageyoumingxianyizhizuoyong。tongshi,waipanyumijiagezouruanyezaiyidingchengdushangqidaolelikongdayadezuoyong。yinci,duanqineiguoneiyumishichanghuojiangyanxuruoshizoudigeju。
消息麵上,據印度氣象局表示,截止到八月份的第三周,印度玉米產區降雨不足率在20到37%。雖sui然ran今jin年nian印yin度du玉yu米mi播bo種zhong麵mian積ji增zeng長chang,但dan是shi播bo種zhong耽dan擱ge以yi及ji季ji風feng降jiang雨yu疲pi軟ruan,這zhe導dao致zhi主zhu產chan區qu安an得de拉la邦bang的de玉yu米mi種zhong植zhi麵mian積ji減jian少shao了le一yi半ban左zuo右you,而er西xi北bei部bu地di區qu降jiang雨yu不bu足zu,也ye導dao致zhi另ling一yi主zhu產chan區qu拉la賈jia斯si坦tan邦bang的de玉yu米mi種zhong植zhi麵mian積ji減jian少shao了le6%。分析師表示,印度玉米作物受到降雨不足的影響,可能導致產量降至1750萬噸,低於上年的1930萬噸。美國農業部預計今年印度玉米消費量將增長近四分之一,達到1760萬噸。今年印度玉米產量將比上年的1930萬噸減少約10%。目mu前qian印yin度du國guo內nei飼si料liao加jia工gong商shang已yi經jing開kai始shi搶qiang購gou玉yu米mi供gong應ying,以yi防fang價jia格ge進jin一yi步bu上shang漲zhang。今jin年nian印yin度du家jia禽qin養yang殖zhi行xing業ye從cong禽qin流liu感gan疫yi情qing中zhong恢hui複fu,因yin而er玉yu米mi飼si料liao需xu求qiu將jiang非fei常chang旺wang盛sheng,印yin度du政zheng府fu將jiang確que保bao國guo內nei的de供gong應ying,然ran後hou再zai考kao慮lv出chu口kou。印yin度du貿mao易yi商shang稱cheng,今jin年nian印yin度du季ji風feng降jiang雨yu量liang創chuang下xia了le四si十shi年nian來lai的de最zui低di水shui平ping,這zhe威wei脅xie到dao了le玉yu米mi生sheng長chang,促cu使shi印yin度du政zheng府fu取qu消xiao了le玉yu米mi出chu口kou補bu貼tie。
國內方麵,據吉林省糧食局9月7日消息,截至9月6日當周,吉林雙遼地區玉米出庫報價上漲10至20元/噸dun。目mu前qian當dang地di貿mao易yi商shang手shou中zhong均jun無wu庫ku存cun,企qi業ye參can與yu拍pai賣mai的de數shu量liang較jiao多duo,也ye有you不bu少shao代dai南nan方fang客ke戶hu進jin行xing交jiao易yi的de,但dan從cong周zhou內nei成cheng交jiao價jia格ge來lai看kan普pu遍bian存cun在zai虛xu高gao的de情qing況kuang。當dang地di玉yu米mi出chu庫ku報bao價jia在zai1,630至1,640元/噸,環比上漲10至20元/噸。貿易商多數已經交錢提貨,因擔心出庫時間影響銷售價格,所以都在抓緊時間運作。
lingwai,xiayouxuqiufangmian,juzhongguosiliaogongyexiehuifuhuichangjizhihuabiaoshi,jinnianzhongguosiliaochanliangzengchangsudukenengfangman。siliaochanliangzengchangsudufangmandeyuanyinzaiyuquanqiujingjiweiji,daozhijiaqinxingyedesiliaoxuqiufangman。lingwai,zhuliuganbaofadaozhiyangzhulirunpiandi,naifenxingyesanjuqinganchouwenzaochengdeyingxiangrengweixiaosan。tayuji,jinnianwoguosiliaochanliangkenengdadao1.4億噸,比上年增長2.2%,低於2008年的產量增幅10.8%,當時產量達到了1.37億噸。隨著近期豬肉、蛋禽價格的連續走高,養殖業的逐漸恢複,促進飼料玉米需求的加大,這對未來玉米價格走勢構成了支撐。http://www.98fo.cn



